Former President Donald Trump is slated to win nan Arab-American Muslim vote and nan ultra-Orthodox Jewish ballot adjacent week, if you judge nan polls.
Two groups that can’t make bid successful nan Middle East are coming together to conclusion Kamala Harris.
While Orthodox Jews person thrown their support to Republicans successful nan past, particularly since 2008, nan Muslim ballot has been a staple of nan Democratic Party since George W. Bush launched nan warfare successful Iraq.
In 2000, an estimated 70% of Muslims nationwide voted for nan Republican Bush, but by nan pursuing predetermination that number reversed — and 70% supported Bush’s Democrat challenger, John Kerry.
By 2008, Muslims supported Democrats much than immoderate group isolated from achromatic Americans: 86% of Muslims voted for Barack Obama, compared to 95% of achromatic voters.
Democrats believed that this group was portion of their imperishable rainbow conjugation that would only turn — arsenic precocious commencement rates and migration accrued their stock of nan US population, particularly successful plaything states for illustration Michigan, Georgia, Maine and Minnesota.
So it came arsenic a complete daze to them past week erstwhile an Arab News/YouGov canvass found Arab Americans supporting Trump complete Harris by 45% to 43%.
Making matters worse for Democrats, connected Saturday 8 prominent Muslim leaders joined Trump onstage astatine a rally successful Novi, Mich., to springiness him their full-throated endorsement — a immense improvement successful a important plaything authorities that’s location to astir 400,000 Arab Americans.
That followed influential endorsements from nan Muslim politician of Hamtramck, Mich., and from nan Pakistani American Public Affairs Committee — and nan nationalist refusal of Abdullah Hammoud, nan Democratic politician of Dearborn, Mich., to motion connected to Harris’ campaign.
Blame, successful part, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris’ disastrous overseas policy, specifically regarding Israel and Gaza, for nan immense shift.
From Vladimir Putin to nan mullahs of Iran, overseas adversaries person acted progressively brazen since Trump near office, knowing that nan anemic Biden occupied nan White House.
In nan Middle East particularly, Biden and Harris person tried to person their barroom and eat it.
They condemned nan violent attacks of Oct. 7, but besides warned Israel against sending nan IDF into Rafah. They’ve demanded a cease-fire, but person taken nary patient steps to unafraid one.
Their inaction successful nan look of mounting civilian casualties has outraged Muslim Americans, who find themselves progressively divided from nan mainstream Democratic Party.
While immoderate progressive Muslims person been driven toward Green Party campaigner Jill Stein, those who are much socially blimpish are moving toward Trump arsenic nan pro-peace candidate.
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Last week UFC fighters Justin Gaethje, Beneil Dariush and Henry Cejudo campaigned for Trump successful Warren, Mich., telling voters location he’ll bring bid to nan Middle East.
“I saw nan things [Trump] did successful nan Middle East, wherever he stopped ISIS, wherever he stopped bombing conscionable random group for illustration [former President Barack] Obama was doing,” Dariush told nan crowd.
Other Muslim Americans are looking to Trump because of nan authorities of nan economy.
CNN expert Reena Ninan said on-air this period that she knew of not a azygous Arab American business owner consenting to support Harris.
Tiffany Trump’s father-in-law, Massad Boulos, a high-profile Lebanese-American businessman, “has been successful successful benignant of converting and talking to group to explicate why Trump would beryllium better,” Ninan said.
And immoderate Muslims began souring connected nan Democrats agelong earlier nan warfare successful Gaza began aliases nan system tanked — acknowledgment to nan party’s clasp of woke policies successful schools and section governments.
In 2023, Muslim clerics issued a nationwide telephone urging their followers to face “gender ideology,” The Los Angeles Times has reported. Especially successful heavy bluish areas for illustration Montgomery County, Md., Muslim Americans person organized protests against nan incorporation of intersexual topics and transgenderism successful nationalist schools.
As nan Democratic Party progressively reflects nan heavy progressive ideology of woke vino moms, Muslims are emotion that it nary longer represents them.
“The Muslim activity post-9/11 sewage truthful afraid, everyone sewage truthful scared,” Sheikh Mustafa Umar of nan Islamic Center of Irvine explained. “People [were] like, ‘Let’s conscionable squad up conscionable pinch anybody who is consenting to talk to us.’ Not reasoning astir nan semipermanent consequences . . . that was a immense mistake.”
But successful a statesmanlike predetermination that could beryllium nan closest successful decades, nan Muslim ballot whitethorn beryllium nan difference-maker — and their departure should time off Democrats soul-searching.
Ryan Girdusky is nan writer of “They’re Not Listening: How The Elites Created nan National Populist Revolution.”