In 2020, 2 battleground states were decided by less than 12,000 votes.
November 3, 2024, 5:03 AM
Vice President Kamala Harris and erstwhile President Donald Trump are heading into Election Day neck-and-neck successful nationalist and battleground authorities polls.
As of Nov. 1, Harris and Trump were separated by conscionable 1.2% successful nationwide polling averages compiled by 538.
At nan authorities level, neither campaigner has a lead greater than 2 percent points immoderate of nan plaything states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Those 7 battleground states will find who clinches 270 electoral votes needed to triumph nan White House.
How adjacent nan swing-state margins were successful 2020
President Joe Biden narrowly won six retired of nan 7 states successful 2020, immoderate by conscionable 11,000 aliases 12,000 votes.
Biden defeated Trump by flipping nan "blue wall" states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania that Trump won successful 2016.
Biden besides won Georgia and Arizona, 2 states that were longtime Republican strongholds.
Trump won North Carolina by 74,481 votes, which was smaller than his separator of triumph location complete Hillary Clinton successful 2016.
Overall, 386,769 votes successful those 7 states wished nan result of nan 2020 predetermination retired of 158 cardinal formed nationwide.
Signs constituent to different adjacent race
Harris and Trump person ne'er been separated by much than 3 percent points successful nationalist polling averages compiled by 538 since Harris took complete for President Biden arsenic nan Democratic frontrunner successful precocious July.
The 2 are successful a dormant power successful Nevada and Pennsylvania, according to 538.
Pennsylvania is considered a imaginable tipping constituent for who will triumph nan Electoral College. If Harris wins nan state, on pinch nan remainder of nan Midwest “blue wall” and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, she will clinch 270 votes. If Trump wins Pennsylvania, and holds each nan states he won successful 2020, he would request to besides flip Georgia to win.
In Michigan and Wisconsin, Harris has a 1-point lead complete nan erstwhile president. Polling averages show Trump up by a azygous percent constituent successful North Carolina and by 2 percent points successful Georgia and Arizona.
Those margins, however, would autumn successful a emblematic poll’s separator of error.