Trump leverages economic discontent, extends his appeal -- and breaks mold: ANALYSIS

Former President Donald Trump leveraged economical discontent, extended his entreaty beyond his halfway support groups and overturned semipermanent governmental trends successful nan 2024 statesmanlike election, driving his unsocial governmental style to a singular comeback.

While ABC News had not projected a victor by early Wednesday morning, Trump's capacity collapsed nan mold crossed a assortment of measures.

Among them, Hispanic voters, agelong a solidly Democratic group, voted for Vice President Kamala Harris complete Trump by conscionable 53-45% -- nan closest separator since exit polls began successful 1976. That 8-point triumph for Harris compares pinch 33 points for President Joe Biden among Hispanic voters 4 years ago.

A protagonist of erstwhile US president and Republican statesmanlike campaigner Donald Trump gestures arsenic they stitchery adjacent his Mar-a-Lago edifice successful Palm Beach, Florida, connected Election Day, November 5, 2024.

Giorgio Viera/AFP via Getty Images

Trump's summation chiefly was among Hispanic men -- a triumph by 10 points, aft losing them by 23 points successful 2020. Given nan country's progressively divers population, Republican competitiveness among Hispanic voters could correspond a oversea alteration successful nan nation's governmental landscape.

At nan aforesaid time, diverseness declined successful this election: It was nan first clip since 1996 that group and taste minorities did not summation their stock of nan electorate, moreover if by a scant constituent aliases two. In all, they went from conscionable 13% of voters successful 1992 (with nan rest, 87%, white) to 33% successful 2020 (with 67% white). In this election, achromatic voters accounted for 71%, a 4-point increase; number voters moved down to 29%.

Republican statesmanlike nominee and erstwhile U.S. President Donald Trump speaks pursuing early results from nan 2024 U.S. statesmanlike predetermination successful Palm Beach County Convention Center, successful West Palm Beach, Florida, Nov. 6, 2024.

Brendan Mcdermid/Reuters

The main summation among achromatic group was those who don't person a four-year assemblage degree, +4 points arsenic a stock of nan electorate and a broadly pro-Trump group.

White group wide voted 55-43% for Trump. That compared pinch Harris wins of 53-45% among Hispanic group (an historically tight margin, arsenic noted) 56-38% among Asian voters and 86-12% among Black voters, a emblematic consequence for Democrats.

Another break from nan past was successful position of straight-ahead partisanship. Thirty-four percent of voters identified themselves arsenic Republicans, 32% arsenic Democrats and 34% arsenic independents. However tight nan margin, it was nan first clip successful exit polls that Republicans outnumbered Democrats nationally.

There was a immense spread betwixt young men (roughly evenly split, 49-47%, Harris-Trump) and young women (+27 points for Harris, 63-36%). Still, Harris' ballot from young women was down 4 points from Biden's successful 2020.

Women pinch Alpha Kappa Alpha Sorority Inc. beryllium together up of an predetermination nighttime arena held by Democratic statesmanlike nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris astatine Howard University connected Nov. 5, 2024 successful Washington, DC.

Brandon Bell/Getty Images

Harris won women by 54-44%; Trump won men by an identical margin. That 20-point gender spread almost precisely matches nan mean since 1996. Tellingly, though, Harris' support from women was 3 points little than Biden's successful 2020.

In different melodramatic shift, Harris underperformed Biden by 19 points among first-time voters (even if a mini group, 8% of nan electorate). They went 54-45% for Trump complete Harris, aft backing Biden complete Trump by 64-32%. Trump doubled his support successful this group.

College-educated voters were astir arsenic bully for Harris arsenic they were for Biden – but Trump did 4 points amended among non-college voters than he did 4 years ago. Non-college voters, notably, are much economically vulnerable: Fifty-three percent successful that group said they'd gotten worse disconnected financially nether Biden's presidency. Just 33% of college-educated voters said nan same.

One much departure successful nan 2024 predetermination bears note: Even pinch her wide outcome, Harris won independent voters, 50-45%. Independents often -- but not ever -- ballot pinch nan winner.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump prepares to speak astatine his predetermination nighttime arena astatine nan West Palm Beach Convention Center successful West Palm Beach, Florida, Nov. 6, 2024.

@EricTrump/X

On issues, nan astir striking consequence by acold was nan stock of group wide saying they've gotten worse disconnected financially nether nan existent administration, 45%. That was nan highest successful exit polls that person asked nan question, moreover surpassing nan 42% worse disconnected successful 2008, successful nan teeth of nan Great Recession. It was up from 20% 4 years ago, a much than doubling of nan worse-off organization nether nan management successful which Harris is No 2.

Conversely, a specified 24% this twelvemonth said they'd go amended disconnected nether Biden, a mobility Trump asked many times astatine his run rallies.

Biden took nan heat, pinch conscionable a 40% occupation support rating, pinch 58% disapproving, nan lowest support for an incumbent president successful exit polls since President George W. Bush's 27% arsenic he near agency successful 2008.

But Harris took nan heat, arsenic well.