Nevada's swing state status unpacked as polls show close race

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A section journalist breaks down Nevada's imaginable domiciled successful adjacent week's election.

November 1, 2024, 4:02 PM

Despite its size, Nevada is 1 of nan slightest densely populated states successful nan U.S, pinch a small much than 3.1 cardinal residents. However, these voters will play a important domiciled successful next week's election.

The outcome of nan statesmanlike race betwixt Vice President Kamala Harris and erstwhile President Donald Trump will dangle connected elector turnout successful battleground states for illustration Nevada, which has go 1 of nan country's astir diverse.

In Nevada, 40% of registered voters do not place arsenic either Democrat aliases Republican. Despite this, nan authorities voted Democrat successful nan past 4 statesmanlike elections. On Friday, Harris and Trump were astir tied successful nan state.

A polling spot during early voting for nan 2024 statesmanlike predetermination astatine nan Reno - Sparks Indian Colony successful Reno, Nevada, connected Oct. 19, 2024.

Alejandra Rubio/AFP via Getty Images

A important information of nan votes are expected to beryllium counted by Friday morning, pinch further votes coming successful done nan message complete nan weekend, according to Nevada Independent newsman Gabby Birenbaum.

Speaking to ABC News connected Thursday, Birenbaum offered an study of Nevada's domiciled arsenic a plaything authorities successful nan 2024 predetermination arsenic some campaigns make their last appeals to voters.

"Right now, Republicans are looking beautiful beardown successful nan state," Birenbaum said. "It's a batch of logic for optimism for them. They person a lead of conscionable nether astir 5 points successful position of registered Republican turnout versus registered Democrat turnout. That's very different than successful past cycles."

Even though Republicans are presently successful nan lead successful Nevada forecasts, Birenbaum noted that nan result will yet dangle connected really nonpartisans vote.

 Nevada invited motion astatine Hoover Dam

Nevada invited motion astatine Hoover Dam.

Mark Newman/Getty Images

"Right now, registered nonpartisans are nan biggest group successful nan state," Birenbaum said. "Currently, successful early voting, they're conscionable astir complete a 4th of nan electorate. And truthful if you're nan Harris campaign, you really request those nonpartisans to break successful your favour successful bid to flooded immoderate of this Republican early ballot advantage"

Both candidates tried to entreaty to those voters successful Nevada connected Thursday -- Harris held rallies successful Reno and Las Vegas, while Trump spoke to supporters successful Henderson, southeast of Las Vegas.

"In galore ways, group deliberation Nevada mightiness beryllium a bluish authorities because it's voted for nan Democratic campaigner successful nan past 4 elections," Birenbaum said. "But it's genuinely purple. I mean, Biden won by 2 and a half points [in 2020], Clinton besides won by 2 and a half points [in 2016]."

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