Lawler, Ryan ahead of rivals in Hudson Valley as Election Day nears: new poll

Two Hudson Valley House incumbents — Republican Rep. Mike Lawler and Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan — lead their rivals successful polls heading into nan predetermination campaign’s location stretch, acknowledgment to large gender gaps successful their favor.

Freshman Lawler leads ex-Democratic Rep. Mondaire Jones 49% to 44% among apt voters successful nan 17th District encompassing Rockland, Putnam and parts of Westchester and Dutchess counties, the Emerson College Poll/Pix 11/The Hill study released Tuesday found.

The remaining 7% of voters queried precocious past week were still undecided aliases supporting a insignificant statement candidate.

Lawler’s five-point lead was fueled by a immense 27-point advantage among men, while Jones was up by 16 points among women.

Since earlier this month, Lawler’s support has accrued by 4 points, from 45% to 49%, while Jones’ support has held astatine 44%.

In nan 18th district, encompassing Dutchess, Orange and Ulster counties, Ryan was backed by 51% of apt voters, while Republican rival Alison Esposito had nan support of 42%.

Ryan led Esposito by a immense 20-point separator among women successful a district where abortion has been a large run issue.

They were splitting nan ballot among men.

The incumbent’s support accrued by 3 points, from 48% to 51%, while Esposito’s support decreased by a point, compared to a anterior Emerson study earlier this month.

“There is simply a stark gender disagreement successful nan 17th district, pinch men breaking for Lawler by 27 points, and women breaking by 16 for Jones, while men are much divided successful nan 18th district: 47% support Esposito and 46% support Ryan. Women break for Ryan by 20 points,” said Spencer Kimball, executive head of Emerson College Polling.

Both incumbents look much celebrated than their rivals — 52% of voters had a favorable position of Lawler compared to 44% who had a favorable position of Jones.

The notable quality successful gender gaps has helped some Hudson Valley incumbents successful their favour for their respective races. Getty Images

Similarly, 52% person a favorable position of incumbent Ryan, while 41% person a favorable sentiment of Esposito.

“We’re gladsome to spot this canvass corroborate what galore successful NY-17 already cognize — that Congressman Lawler is well-positioned for re-election and voters present are rejecting nan outrageous lies against Mike presently polluting nan airwaves and voters’ mailboxes,” said Lawler campaign spokesman Nate Soule. 

At nan apical of nan ticket, erstwhile President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are competitive.

In nan 17th district, 50% support Harris and 47% support Trump, wrong nan poll’s 4.4 percent separator of error.

In nan 18th district, 49% support Donald Trump for president, 48% backmost Kamala Harris.

The Emerson College Poll/Pix 11/The Hill study shows Lawler is presently starring Mondaire Jones 49% to 44% among apt voters successful nan 17th District which see Rockland, Putnam and parts of Westchester and Dutchess counties. AP

The apical issues for voters successful nan 17th territory are nan economy, astatine 30%, followed by migration (20%), lodging affordability (15%), crime (11%), and threats to populist (10%).

The apical issues for voters successful nan 18th territory are besides nan economy, astatine 32%, followed by migration (19%), lodging affordability (14%), threats to populist (11%), and crime (8%).

Voters were besides asked if they are amended disconnected financially now than they were a twelvemonth ago, astir nan same, aliases worse off.

Half of voters successful nan 17th territory opportunity they are worse disconnected financially coming than a twelvemonth ago, while 32% opportunity they are doing astir nan same, and 18% are amended off.

In nan 18th, 48% successful nan 18th territory are worse off, 35% astir nan same, and 18% amended off.

The Emerson College/Pix11/The Hill New York 17th and 18th territory surveys were conducted from October 24-26 via compartment telephone matter connection and online.

In nan 17th district, 475 apt voters participated and nan canvass has a separator of correction of positive aliases minus 4.4 percent points.

In nan 18th district, 450 apt voters were queried pinch a separator of correction of positive aliases minus 4.6 percent points.