College Football predictions: Why Georgia will win loaded SEC

With conscionable 5 regular-season weeks remaining successful nan college football season, it’s becoming progressively much difficult to find worth successful nan futures market.

That’s why I’m parlaying a brace of favorites to triumph their respective conferences astatine astir 4/1 likelihood (+371) astatine Bet365. 

Leg 1: Boise State to win the Mountain West (-175)

Boise State conscionable won nan Game of nan Year successful its conference, dispatching UNLV connected its location field, 29-24. The triumph each but assures nan Broncos home-field advantage successful nan MWC title crippled connected Dec. 6. 

The Broncos’ constrictive late-night triumph past Friday besides demonstrated that they’re much than Ashton Jeanty. UNLV threw eight- and nine-man boxes astatine Jeanty each night. This trim into his yards-after-contact average, dropping him from an otherworldly play mean of 7.25 down to 6.42 postgame. 

He collapsed 8 tackles, battled done an limb wounded and still generated 139 all-purpose yards. But nan existent communicative was really his teammates, namely Maddux Madsen, took advantage of their opportunities erstwhile Jeanty wasn’t toting nan rock. 

Madsen hadn’t been called upon to propulsion nan shot much than 25 times since Week 2 astatine Oregon. How did he respond erstwhile asked to enarthrosis a heavier violative load? Exceptionally well, pinch a QBR of 84.5 against UNLV. 

He was businesslike and turnover-free done nan aerial and ripped disconnected a 49-yard tally to boot. Boise has aspirations beyond nan MWC this season. If Madsen plays astatine this level, nan Broncos could execute their lofty goals of winning a playoff game. 

Defensively, their capacity against UNLV pushed them wrong nan apical 10 successful Havoc. The Broncos’ sack percent (12.66%) is nan highest since nan NCAA began search sacks successful 2000. Boise isn’t conscionable sending waves of linebackers and protect backs astatine opposing passers, it’s varying its pressures and sending 5 aliases much connected only 34.6% of nan protect snaps. 

Ashton Jeanty is starring Boise State. AP

When nan Broncos do nonstop those defenders from their backmost seven, those blitzers are getting home. Defensive backs Seyi Oladipo, Rodney Robinson, Alexander Teubner and Davon Banks person mixed for 9.5 sacks this season. For perspective, that’s much sack accumulation from their secondary than Iowa State has from its full defense this fall. For Boise, it’s not conscionable scheme, it’s individual blitzers acold outperforming reasonable expectations. 

The Broncos conscionable took UNLV’s champion punch and walked disconnected nan section pinch nan victory. I emotion their chances to repetition nan feat successful 5 weeks connected their location turf. 

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Leg 2: Georgia to win the SEC (+200)

I was amazed to spot Georgia is still sitting astatine +200 to triumph nan SEC aft their defense put Texas successful a container down successful Austin.

If nan Bulldogs play astatine that level, there isn’t a squad successful nan conference that could hit them connected nan accelerated way astatine Mercedes-Benz Stadium successful Atlanta. 

Offensively, Georgia has cleaned things up successful caller weeks, cracking nan apical 20 successful value drives, modular down explosiveness and walk protection.

And critically, Mike Bobo and nan discourtesy are avoiding slow starts. 

The Bulldogs dug themselves a monolithic spread against Alabama by opening nan crippled pinch 3 consecutive quiet possessions. Since then, Georgia and its violative unit person figured things out.

In nan past 2 games, Georgia has scored a full of 50 first-half points. 

Once teams are forced to play catch-up, it’s crippled over. Kirby Smart’s defense is No. 1 successful passing-down occurrence rate. The mean instrumentality successful reddish and achromatic is backmost and will apt beryllium favored by 5 aliases much against immoderate force successful nan SEC title game. 

PARLAY: Boise to triumph Mountain West -175 | Georgia to triumph SEC +200 (+371, DraftKings)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Mike Calabrese is simply a handicapper for nan New York Post, pinch a crisp attraction connected assemblage sports. His betting proposal often centers astir situational spots, including travel, remainder and altitude disparities.