2024 election exit poll analysis: Abortion

Voters successful 7 states approved ballot measures to grow abortion access.

The battlegrounds of Arizona and Nevada were among 10 states pinch abortion connected nan ballot Tuesday.

Some strategists hypothesized that this would boost turnout among nan mostly of voters who support ineligible abortion, aiding Democratic candidates successful nan process.

Not truthful fast: Attitudes connected abortion were not arsenic one-sided arsenic it whitethorn person seemed, according to an study of exit polls.

Sign successful favour of proposition 139, nan correct to abortion initiative, are displayed astatine nan entranceway room of nan Tucson HQ of Arizona List, an relation made to empower and elite progressive pro-choice Democratic women leaders, successful Tucson, Ariz., Oct. 16, 2024.

Olivier Touron/AFP via Getty Images, FILE

Donald Trump's approach, focusing connected states' rights, appeared to resonate pinch voters who didn't position abortion entree arsenic incompatible pinch a Trump presidency. In Arizona, 23% who voted "yes" connected nan state's inaugural enshrining abortion authorities successful nan authorities constitution besides voted for Trump. In Nevada, wherever different abortion-rights measurement was approved, 25% of "yes" voters likewise went for Trump.

This followed astatine nan nationalist level. Among nan two-thirds of voters who said abortion should beryllium ineligible successful each aliases astir cases, 28% voted for Trump; that included 30% successful Arizona, 32% successful Nevada and 36% successful Florida.

A array pinch lit calling for a YES ballot connected proposition 139, nan correct to abortion initiative, is displayed by members of Arizona List, an relation made to empower and elite progressive pro-choice Democratic women leaders, astatine nan entranceway to nan Murphy-Wilmot Library successful Tucson, Ariz., Oct. 16, 2024.

Olivier Touron/AFP via Getty Images

Supporters of ineligible abortion still collapsed powerfully for Harris. But partisan elasticity connected nan rumor did not trim some ways. As Harris made abortion entree a cardinal attraction of her campaign, she won only 9% of voters who said abortion should beryllium forbidden successful each aliases astir cases.

In Arizona, arsenic an example, anti-abortion voters made up 31% of nan electorate -- and backed Trump by 95-5%.